Most brokers have a free news plug in with their deal station. Headline economic data moves the forex markets and currency traders can take advantage of that.The news is released at certain times on the economic calendar and is reported instantaneously by news outlets including Bloomberg,Reuters,Dow Jones,Trade The News and CNBC making it universally accessible.Some of these agencies charge traders a lot of money for instant news so traders can trade the spikes that occur sometimes when the figure is outside the expected range.Sometimes, the news will affect the markets for days.
We trade with technical analysis and fundamentals.We pinpoint entries and exits with technical analysis.Market sentiment is driven primarily by the economic and geopoplitical news of the day.The key players such as central banks,multinational companies,hedge funds and top tier investment banks formulate their trades by analyzing the most recent economic news and geopolitical developments and pronouncements from G-7 monetary authorities.The release of the economic figures drives the price of a currency pair towards an important Fibonacci level, Pivot level ,support level or resistance level.
It is important to look at an economic calendar to see if the market is waiting for the release of a major fundamental announcement.Price may go into consolidation before the release time or it may move a lot as traders take a position beforehand.If the released figure varies considerably from the expected figure, the price will move a considerable distance.Some data releases are lot more important than others.
You can open a trade when the market settles down soon after a news release or if you are really daring you can open a trade 10 minutes before a news release,but have a stop loss in place for protection.The market can move 100pips in 30 seconds occasionally.Trading the news is not always clear cut.Price can go in opposite direction to what seems logical.Also, figures from previous months can be revised.
Major reports released for USA include Non-Farm Payrolls,Trade Figures,Retail Sales,Durable Goods,Consumer PriceIndex,Treasury International Capital,Current Account and Advance GDP.
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Wednesday, March 3, 2010
Why Trade Forex
* Take control of your own finances.Beat the returns from mutual funds, hedge funds or managed funds.
* Start-up costs are low when compared with day trading stocks or futures.
* Forex is the world’s largest market. No one can corner the market.
* With a trading volume of around $3.2 trillion dollars a day( Bank for International Settlements April 2007), no single entity can control the market for an extended period of time.
* You can make money when the market is going up or down.
* Forex markets trade 24 hours a day. There is no waiting for the opening bell.
* Technical analysis works very well and the market trends well.
* Forex offers up to 100:1 leverage but it is wise avoid very high leverage if you can afford it. Stocks offer 1:1 or 2:1.Futures offers 15:1 leverage.
* The forex market is the most liquid in the world. Traders can almost always open or close a position at a fair price.
* You can make money working only a few hours a day or week on your computer.
* You can trade from anywhere in the world where there is an internet connection.
* You can gain experience without risking your own money by using a free demo account.
* When trading stocks, there are over 40,000 stocks to choose from. In Day Trading Forex , you can choose one or two currency pairs and focus your analysis.
* Start-up costs are low when compared with day trading stocks or futures.
* Forex is the world’s largest market. No one can corner the market.
* With a trading volume of around $3.2 trillion dollars a day( Bank for International Settlements April 2007), no single entity can control the market for an extended period of time.
* You can make money when the market is going up or down.
* Forex markets trade 24 hours a day. There is no waiting for the opening bell.
* Technical analysis works very well and the market trends well.
* Forex offers up to 100:1 leverage but it is wise avoid very high leverage if you can afford it. Stocks offer 1:1 or 2:1.Futures offers 15:1 leverage.
* The forex market is the most liquid in the world. Traders can almost always open or close a position at a fair price.
* You can make money working only a few hours a day or week on your computer.
* You can trade from anywhere in the world where there is an internet connection.
* You can gain experience without risking your own money by using a free demo account.
* When trading stocks, there are over 40,000 stocks to choose from. In Day Trading Forex , you can choose one or two currency pairs and focus your analysis.
Learn These Forex Trading Strategies and Forex Trading Systems used by Professional Forex Traders
Learn Our Pro Forex Trading Strategies & Forex Trading Systems and Get Forex Commentary and Trade Signals in our Live Forex Trading Setups Forum. Learn these simple trading strategies which are desgined to scalp for short term pip gains or leave the trade on for hours or even overnight to make larger pip returns. This is a Complete Forex Education and Trading Mentoring Service at an Afforable Price.
Lets talk about what might be the best forex training and most complete forex mentoring your ever going to find to make consistant profits ...
This comprehensive trading education course is designed to train forex traders to read price action and trade the forex market like real professionals. Your going to learn From Real Traders who have been trading for almost a decade, experience counts in this business.
Does your trading system lose money? Its time for a huge change in your trading!. Join the group that make money consistently. If you’re a beginner and don’t know where to start, try thee daily forex trading strategies first. Stop looking for perfect mechanical forex system, and learn to read raw price action.
Maybe you’ve bought a forex system or used a trading strategy before and your trading results still weren’t up to scratch, most likely because they where useless curve fitted systems that have no use in real world trading. The con artists all over the internet never tell you the truth, back tested results are useless!.
It's time to learn a real forex tading method based on pure price patterns which is simple and effective. ...
This ebook is filled with solid forex strategies, similar to those used by banks and financial institutions. It's going to teach you powerfull trading setups, which we have used to profit considerably and consistently. We dont teach a bogus one hit wonder forex system, We are talking about you going away from this ebook with a concrete plan of action , powerfull forex system in hand, ready to make serious money. You will have unlikley seen these trading strategies taught anywhere.
This is a genuine trading plan, containing everything we know and have learned from the markets. And the best thing is, its simple enough for you to copy every time you make a forex trade..
Lets talk about what might be the best forex training and most complete forex mentoring your ever going to find to make consistant profits ...
This comprehensive trading education course is designed to train forex traders to read price action and trade the forex market like real professionals. Your going to learn From Real Traders who have been trading for almost a decade, experience counts in this business.
Does your trading system lose money? Its time for a huge change in your trading!. Join the group that make money consistently. If you’re a beginner and don’t know where to start, try thee daily forex trading strategies first. Stop looking for perfect mechanical forex system, and learn to read raw price action.
Maybe you’ve bought a forex system or used a trading strategy before and your trading results still weren’t up to scratch, most likely because they where useless curve fitted systems that have no use in real world trading. The con artists all over the internet never tell you the truth, back tested results are useless!.
It's time to learn a real forex tading method based on pure price patterns which is simple and effective. ...
This ebook is filled with solid forex strategies, similar to those used by banks and financial institutions. It's going to teach you powerfull trading setups, which we have used to profit considerably and consistently. We dont teach a bogus one hit wonder forex system, We are talking about you going away from this ebook with a concrete plan of action , powerfull forex system in hand, ready to make serious money. You will have unlikley seen these trading strategies taught anywhere.
This is a genuine trading plan, containing everything we know and have learned from the markets. And the best thing is, its simple enough for you to copy every time you make a forex trade..
Wednesday, December 2, 2009
Trading Plan
What Does Trading Plan Mean?
A systematic method for screening and evaluating stocks, determining the amount of risk that is or should be taken, and formulating short and long-term investment objectives. A successful trading plan will also involve details like the type of trading system to be used. Most plans require the use of various types of technical analysis tools.
A systematic method for screening and evaluating stocks, determining the amount of risk that is or should be taken, and formulating short and long-term investment objectives. A successful trading plan will also involve details like the type of trading system to be used. Most plans require the use of various types of technical analysis tools.
Investopedia explains Forex Scalping
Forex scalping generally involves large amounts of leverage so that a small change in a currency equals a respectable profit. Forex scalping system strategies can be manual or automated. A manual system involves a trader sitting at the computer screen, looking for signals and interpreting whether to buy or sell. In an automated trading system, the trader "teaches" the software what signals to look for and how to interpret them.
It is thought that automated trading takes human psychology out of trading, which is important in forex scalping because the fast-paced environment can be hard for traders to stomach.
It is thought that automated trading takes human psychology out of trading, which is important in forex scalping because the fast-paced environment can be hard for traders to stomach.
Advanced Bond Concepts: Bond Pricing
It is important for prospective bond buyers to know how to determine the price of a bond because it will indicate the yield received should the bond be purchased. In this section, we will run through some bond price calculations for various types of bond instruments.
Bonds can be priced at a premium, discount, or at par. If the bond's price is higher than its par value, it will sell at a premium because its interest rate is higher than current prevailing rates. If the bond's price is lower than its par value, the bond will sell at a discount because its interest rate is lower than current prevailing interest rates. When you calculate the price of a bond, you are calculating the maximum price you would want to pay for the bond, given the bond's coupon rate in comparison to the average rate most investors are currently receiving in the bond market. Required yield or required rate of return is the interest rate that a security needs to offer in order to encourage investors to purchase it. Usually the required yield on a bond is equal to or greater than the current prevailing interest rates.
Fundamentally, however, the price of a bond is the sum of the present values of all expected coupon payments plus the present value of the par value at maturity. Calculating bond price is simple: all we are doing is discounting the known future cash flows. Remember that to calculate present value (PV) - which is based on the assumption that each payment is re-invested at some interest rate once it is received--we have to know the interest rate that would earn us a known future value. For bond pricing, this interest rate is the required yield. (If the concepts of present and future value are new to you or you are unfamiliar with the calculations, refer to Understanding the Time Value of Money.)
Here is the formula for calculating a bond's price, which uses the basic present value (PV) formula:
C = coupon payment
n = number of payments
i = interest rate, or required yield
M = value at maturity, or par value
The succession of coupon payments to be received in the future is referred to as an ordinary annuity, which is a series of fixed payments at set intervals over a fixed period of time. (Coupons on a straight bond are paid at ordinary annuity.) The first payment of an ordinary annuity occurs one interval from the time at which the debt security is acquired. The calculation assumes this time is the present.
You may have guessed that the bond pricing formula shown above may be tedious to calculate, as it requires adding the present value of each future coupon payment. Because these payments are paid at an ordinary annuity, however, we can use the shorter PV-of-ordinary-annuity formula that is mathematically equivalent to the summation of all the PVs of future cash flows. This PV-of-ordinary-annuity formula replaces the need to add all the present values of the future coupon. The following diagram illustrates how present value is calculated for an ordinary annuity:
Each full moneybag on the top right represents the fixed coupon payments (future value) received in periods one, two and three. Notice how the present value decreases for those coupon payments that are further into the future the present value of the second coupon payment is worth less than the first coupon and the third coupon is worth the lowest amount today. The farther into the future a payment is to be received, the less it is worth today - is the fundamental concept for which the PV-of-ordinary-annuity formula accounts. It calculates the sum of the present values of all future cash flows, but unlike the bond-pricing formula we saw earlier, it doesn't require that we add the value of each coupon payment. (For more on calculating the time value of annuities, see Anything but Ordinary: Calculating the Present and Future Value of Annuities and Understanding the Time Value of Money. )
By incorporating the annuity model into the bond pricing formula, which requires us to also include the present value of the par value received at maturity, we arrive at the following formula:
Let's go through a basic example to find the price of a plain vanilla bond.
Example 1: Calculate the price of a bond with a par value of $1,000 to be paid in ten years, a coupon rate of 10%, and a required yield of 12%. In our example we'll assume that coupon payments are made semi-annually to bond holders and that the next coupon payment is expected in six months. Here are the steps we have to take to calculate the price:
1. Determine the Number of Coupon Payments: Because two coupon payments will be made each year for ten years, we will have a total of 20 coupon payments.
2. Determine the Value of Each Coupon Payment: Because the coupon payments are semi-annual, divide the coupon rate in half. The coupon rate is the percentage off the bond's par value. As a result, each semi-annual coupon payment will be $50 ($1,000 X 0.05).
3. Determine the Semi-Annual Yield: Like the coupon rate, the required yield of 12% must be divided by two because the number of periods used in the calculation has doubled. If we left the required yield at 12%, our bond price would be very low and inaccurate. Therefore, the required semi-annual yield is 6% (0.12/2).
4. Plug the Amounts Into the Formula:
From the above calculation, we have determined that the bond is selling at a discount; the bond price is less than its par value because the required yield of the bond is greater than the coupon rate. The bond must sell at a discount to attract investors, who could find higher interest elsewhere in the prevailing rates. In other words, because investors can make a larger return in the market, they need an extra incentive to invest in the bonds.
Accounting for Different Payment Frequencies
In the example above coupons were paid semi-annually, so we divided the interest rate and coupon payments in half to represent the two payments per year. You may be now wondering whether there is a formula that does not require steps two and three outlined above, which are required if the coupon payments occur more than once a year. A simple modification of the above formula will allow you to adjust interest rates and coupon payments to calculate a bond price for any payment frequency:
Notice that the only modification to the original formula is the addition of "F", which represents the frequency of coupon payments, or the number of times a year the coupon is paid. Therefore, for bonds paying annual coupons, F would have a value of one. Should a bond pay quarterly payments, F would equal four, and if the bond paid semi-annual coupons, F would be two.
Pricing Zero-Coupon Bonds
So what happens when there are no coupon payments? For the aptly-named zero-coupon bond, there is no coupon payment until maturity. Because of this, the present value of annuity formula is unnecessary. You simply calculate the present value of the par value at maturity. Here's a simple example:
Example 2(a): Let's look at how to calculate the price of a zero-coupon bond that is maturing in five years, has a par value of $1,000 and a required yield of 6%.
1. Determine the Number of Periods: Unless otherwise indicated, the required yield of most zero-coupon bonds is based on a semi-annual coupon payment. This is because the interest on a zero-coupon bond is equal to the difference between the purchase price and maturity value, but we need a way to compare a zero-coupon bond to a coupon bond, so the 6% required yield must be adjusted to the equivalent of its semi-annual coupon rate. Therefore, the number of periods for zero-coupon bonds will be doubled, so the zero coupon bond maturing in five years would have ten periods (5 x 2).
2. Determine the Yield: The required yield of 6% must also be divided by two because the number of periods used in the calculation has doubled. The yield for this bond is 3% (6% / 2).
3. Plug the amounts into the formula:
You should note that zero-coupon bonds are always priced at a discount: if zero-coupon bonds were sold at par, investors would have no way of making money from them and therefore no incentive to buy them.
Pricing Bonds between Payment Periods
Up to this point we have assumed that we are purchasing bonds whose next coupon payment occurs one payment period away, according to the regular payment-frequency pattern. So far, if we were to price a bond that pays semi-annual coupons and we purchased the bond today, our calculations would assume that we would receive the next coupon payment in exactly six months. Of course, because you won't always be buying a bond on its coupon payment date, it's important you know how to calculate price if, say, a semi-annual bond is paying its next coupon in three months, one month, or 21 days.
Determining Day Count
To price a bond between payment periods, we must use the appropriate day-count convention. Day count is a way of measuring the appropriate interest rate for a specific period of time. There is actual/actual day count, which is used mainly for Treasury securities. This method counts the exact number of days until the next payment. For example, if you purchased a semi-annual Treasury bond on March 1, 2003, and its next coupon payment is in four months (July 1, 2003), the next coupon payment would be in 122 days:
Time Period = Days Counted
March 1-31 = 31 days
April 1-30 = 30 days
May 1-31 = 31 days
June 1-30 = 30 days
July 1 = 0 days
Total Days = 122 days
To determine the day count, we must also know the number of days in the six-month period of the regular payment cycle. In these six months there are exactly 182 days, so the day count of the Treasury bond would be 122/182, which means that out of the 182 days in the six-month period, the bond still has 122 days before the next coupon payment. In other words, 60 days of the payment period (182 - 122) have already passed. If the bondholder sold the bond today, he or she must be compensated for the interest accrued on the bond over these 60 days.
(Note that if it is a leap year, the total number of days in a year is 366 rather than 365.)
For municipal and corporate bonds, you would use the 30/360 day count convention, which is much simpler as there is no need to remember the actual number of days in each year and month. This count convention assumes that a year consists of 360 days and each month consists of 30 days. As an example, assume the above Treasury bond was actually a semi-annual corporate bond. In this case, the next coupon payment would be in 120 days.
Time Period = Days Counted
March 1-30 = 30 days
April 1-30 = 30 days
May 1-30 = 30 days
June 1-30 = 30 days
July 1 = 0 days
Total Days = 120 days
As a result, the day count convention would be 120/180, which means that 66.7% of the coupon period remains. Notice that we end up with almost the same answer as the actual/actual day count convention above: both day-count conventions tell us that 60 days have passed into the payment period.
Determining Interest Accrued
Accrued interest is the fraction of the coupon payment that the bond seller earns for holding the bond for a period of time between bond payments. The bond price's inclusion of any interest accrued since the last payment period determines whether the bond's price is "dirty" or "clean." Dirty bond prices include any accrued interest that has accumulated since the last coupon payment while clean bond prices do not. In newspapers, the bond prices quoted are often clean prices.
However, because many of the bonds traded in the secondary market are often traded in between coupon payment dates, the bond seller must be compensated for the portion of the coupon payment he or she earns for holding the bond since the last payment. The amount of the coupon payment that the buyer should receive is the coupon payment minus accrued interest. The following example will make this concept more clear.
Example 3: On March 1, 2003, Francesca is selling a corporate bond with a face value of $1,000 and a 7% coupon paid semi-annually. The next coupon payment after March 1, 2003, is expected on June 30, 2003. What is the interest accrued on the bond?
1. Determine the Semi-Annual Coupon Payment: Because the coupon payments are semi-annual, divide the coupon rate in half, which gives a rate of 3.5% (7% / 2). Each semi-annual coupon payment will then be $35 ($1,000 X 0.035).
2. Determine the Number of Days Remaining in the Coupon Period: Because it is a corporate bond, we will use the 30/360 day-count convention.
Time Period = Days Counted
March 1-30 = 30 days
April 1-30 = 30 days
May 1-30 = 30 days
June 1-30 = 30 days
Total Days = 120 days
There are 120 days remaining before the next coupon payment, but because the coupons are paid semi-annually (two times a year), the regular payment period if the bond is 180 days, which, according to the 30/360 day count, is equal to six months. The seller, therefore, has accumulated 60 days worth of interest (180-120).
3. Calculate the Accrued Interest: Accrued interest is the fraction of the coupon payment that the original holder (in this case Francesca) has earned. It is calculated by the following formula:
In this example, the interest accrued by Francesca is $11.67. If the buyer only paid her the clean price, she would not receive the $11.67 to which she is entitled for holding the bond for those 60 days of the 180-day coupon period.
Now you know how to calculate the price of a bond, regardless of when its next coupon will be paid. Bond price quotes are typically the clean prices, but buyers of bonds pay the dirty, or full price. As a result, both buyers and sellers should understand the amount for which a bond should be sold or purchased. In addition, the tools you learned in this section will better enable you to learn the relationship between coupon rate, required yield and price as well as the reasons for which bond prices change in the market.
Bonds can be priced at a premium, discount, or at par. If the bond's price is higher than its par value, it will sell at a premium because its interest rate is higher than current prevailing rates. If the bond's price is lower than its par value, the bond will sell at a discount because its interest rate is lower than current prevailing interest rates. When you calculate the price of a bond, you are calculating the maximum price you would want to pay for the bond, given the bond's coupon rate in comparison to the average rate most investors are currently receiving in the bond market. Required yield or required rate of return is the interest rate that a security needs to offer in order to encourage investors to purchase it. Usually the required yield on a bond is equal to or greater than the current prevailing interest rates.
Fundamentally, however, the price of a bond is the sum of the present values of all expected coupon payments plus the present value of the par value at maturity. Calculating bond price is simple: all we are doing is discounting the known future cash flows. Remember that to calculate present value (PV) - which is based on the assumption that each payment is re-invested at some interest rate once it is received--we have to know the interest rate that would earn us a known future value. For bond pricing, this interest rate is the required yield. (If the concepts of present and future value are new to you or you are unfamiliar with the calculations, refer to Understanding the Time Value of Money.)
Here is the formula for calculating a bond's price, which uses the basic present value (PV) formula:
C = coupon payment
n = number of payments
i = interest rate, or required yield
M = value at maturity, or par value
The succession of coupon payments to be received in the future is referred to as an ordinary annuity, which is a series of fixed payments at set intervals over a fixed period of time. (Coupons on a straight bond are paid at ordinary annuity.) The first payment of an ordinary annuity occurs one interval from the time at which the debt security is acquired. The calculation assumes this time is the present.
You may have guessed that the bond pricing formula shown above may be tedious to calculate, as it requires adding the present value of each future coupon payment. Because these payments are paid at an ordinary annuity, however, we can use the shorter PV-of-ordinary-annuity formula that is mathematically equivalent to the summation of all the PVs of future cash flows. This PV-of-ordinary-annuity formula replaces the need to add all the present values of the future coupon. The following diagram illustrates how present value is calculated for an ordinary annuity:
Each full moneybag on the top right represents the fixed coupon payments (future value) received in periods one, two and three. Notice how the present value decreases for those coupon payments that are further into the future the present value of the second coupon payment is worth less than the first coupon and the third coupon is worth the lowest amount today. The farther into the future a payment is to be received, the less it is worth today - is the fundamental concept for which the PV-of-ordinary-annuity formula accounts. It calculates the sum of the present values of all future cash flows, but unlike the bond-pricing formula we saw earlier, it doesn't require that we add the value of each coupon payment. (For more on calculating the time value of annuities, see Anything but Ordinary: Calculating the Present and Future Value of Annuities and Understanding the Time Value of Money. )
By incorporating the annuity model into the bond pricing formula, which requires us to also include the present value of the par value received at maturity, we arrive at the following formula:
Let's go through a basic example to find the price of a plain vanilla bond.
Example 1: Calculate the price of a bond with a par value of $1,000 to be paid in ten years, a coupon rate of 10%, and a required yield of 12%. In our example we'll assume that coupon payments are made semi-annually to bond holders and that the next coupon payment is expected in six months. Here are the steps we have to take to calculate the price:
1. Determine the Number of Coupon Payments: Because two coupon payments will be made each year for ten years, we will have a total of 20 coupon payments.
2. Determine the Value of Each Coupon Payment: Because the coupon payments are semi-annual, divide the coupon rate in half. The coupon rate is the percentage off the bond's par value. As a result, each semi-annual coupon payment will be $50 ($1,000 X 0.05).
3. Determine the Semi-Annual Yield: Like the coupon rate, the required yield of 12% must be divided by two because the number of periods used in the calculation has doubled. If we left the required yield at 12%, our bond price would be very low and inaccurate. Therefore, the required semi-annual yield is 6% (0.12/2).
4. Plug the Amounts Into the Formula:
From the above calculation, we have determined that the bond is selling at a discount; the bond price is less than its par value because the required yield of the bond is greater than the coupon rate. The bond must sell at a discount to attract investors, who could find higher interest elsewhere in the prevailing rates. In other words, because investors can make a larger return in the market, they need an extra incentive to invest in the bonds.
Accounting for Different Payment Frequencies
In the example above coupons were paid semi-annually, so we divided the interest rate and coupon payments in half to represent the two payments per year. You may be now wondering whether there is a formula that does not require steps two and three outlined above, which are required if the coupon payments occur more than once a year. A simple modification of the above formula will allow you to adjust interest rates and coupon payments to calculate a bond price for any payment frequency:
Notice that the only modification to the original formula is the addition of "F", which represents the frequency of coupon payments, or the number of times a year the coupon is paid. Therefore, for bonds paying annual coupons, F would have a value of one. Should a bond pay quarterly payments, F would equal four, and if the bond paid semi-annual coupons, F would be two.
Pricing Zero-Coupon Bonds
So what happens when there are no coupon payments? For the aptly-named zero-coupon bond, there is no coupon payment until maturity. Because of this, the present value of annuity formula is unnecessary. You simply calculate the present value of the par value at maturity. Here's a simple example:
Example 2(a): Let's look at how to calculate the price of a zero-coupon bond that is maturing in five years, has a par value of $1,000 and a required yield of 6%.
1. Determine the Number of Periods: Unless otherwise indicated, the required yield of most zero-coupon bonds is based on a semi-annual coupon payment. This is because the interest on a zero-coupon bond is equal to the difference between the purchase price and maturity value, but we need a way to compare a zero-coupon bond to a coupon bond, so the 6% required yield must be adjusted to the equivalent of its semi-annual coupon rate. Therefore, the number of periods for zero-coupon bonds will be doubled, so the zero coupon bond maturing in five years would have ten periods (5 x 2).
2. Determine the Yield: The required yield of 6% must also be divided by two because the number of periods used in the calculation has doubled. The yield for this bond is 3% (6% / 2).
3. Plug the amounts into the formula:
You should note that zero-coupon bonds are always priced at a discount: if zero-coupon bonds were sold at par, investors would have no way of making money from them and therefore no incentive to buy them.
Pricing Bonds between Payment Periods
Up to this point we have assumed that we are purchasing bonds whose next coupon payment occurs one payment period away, according to the regular payment-frequency pattern. So far, if we were to price a bond that pays semi-annual coupons and we purchased the bond today, our calculations would assume that we would receive the next coupon payment in exactly six months. Of course, because you won't always be buying a bond on its coupon payment date, it's important you know how to calculate price if, say, a semi-annual bond is paying its next coupon in three months, one month, or 21 days.
Determining Day Count
To price a bond between payment periods, we must use the appropriate day-count convention. Day count is a way of measuring the appropriate interest rate for a specific period of time. There is actual/actual day count, which is used mainly for Treasury securities. This method counts the exact number of days until the next payment. For example, if you purchased a semi-annual Treasury bond on March 1, 2003, and its next coupon payment is in four months (July 1, 2003), the next coupon payment would be in 122 days:
Time Period = Days Counted
March 1-31 = 31 days
April 1-30 = 30 days
May 1-31 = 31 days
June 1-30 = 30 days
July 1 = 0 days
Total Days = 122 days
To determine the day count, we must also know the number of days in the six-month period of the regular payment cycle. In these six months there are exactly 182 days, so the day count of the Treasury bond would be 122/182, which means that out of the 182 days in the six-month period, the bond still has 122 days before the next coupon payment. In other words, 60 days of the payment period (182 - 122) have already passed. If the bondholder sold the bond today, he or she must be compensated for the interest accrued on the bond over these 60 days.
(Note that if it is a leap year, the total number of days in a year is 366 rather than 365.)
For municipal and corporate bonds, you would use the 30/360 day count convention, which is much simpler as there is no need to remember the actual number of days in each year and month. This count convention assumes that a year consists of 360 days and each month consists of 30 days. As an example, assume the above Treasury bond was actually a semi-annual corporate bond. In this case, the next coupon payment would be in 120 days.
Time Period = Days Counted
March 1-30 = 30 days
April 1-30 = 30 days
May 1-30 = 30 days
June 1-30 = 30 days
July 1 = 0 days
Total Days = 120 days
As a result, the day count convention would be 120/180, which means that 66.7% of the coupon period remains. Notice that we end up with almost the same answer as the actual/actual day count convention above: both day-count conventions tell us that 60 days have passed into the payment period.
Determining Interest Accrued
Accrued interest is the fraction of the coupon payment that the bond seller earns for holding the bond for a period of time between bond payments. The bond price's inclusion of any interest accrued since the last payment period determines whether the bond's price is "dirty" or "clean." Dirty bond prices include any accrued interest that has accumulated since the last coupon payment while clean bond prices do not. In newspapers, the bond prices quoted are often clean prices.
However, because many of the bonds traded in the secondary market are often traded in between coupon payment dates, the bond seller must be compensated for the portion of the coupon payment he or she earns for holding the bond since the last payment. The amount of the coupon payment that the buyer should receive is the coupon payment minus accrued interest. The following example will make this concept more clear.
Example 3: On March 1, 2003, Francesca is selling a corporate bond with a face value of $1,000 and a 7% coupon paid semi-annually. The next coupon payment after March 1, 2003, is expected on June 30, 2003. What is the interest accrued on the bond?
1. Determine the Semi-Annual Coupon Payment: Because the coupon payments are semi-annual, divide the coupon rate in half, which gives a rate of 3.5% (7% / 2). Each semi-annual coupon payment will then be $35 ($1,000 X 0.035).
2. Determine the Number of Days Remaining in the Coupon Period: Because it is a corporate bond, we will use the 30/360 day-count convention.
Time Period = Days Counted
March 1-30 = 30 days
April 1-30 = 30 days
May 1-30 = 30 days
June 1-30 = 30 days
Total Days = 120 days
There are 120 days remaining before the next coupon payment, but because the coupons are paid semi-annually (two times a year), the regular payment period if the bond is 180 days, which, according to the 30/360 day count, is equal to six months. The seller, therefore, has accumulated 60 days worth of interest (180-120).
3. Calculate the Accrued Interest: Accrued interest is the fraction of the coupon payment that the original holder (in this case Francesca) has earned. It is calculated by the following formula:
In this example, the interest accrued by Francesca is $11.67. If the buyer only paid her the clean price, she would not receive the $11.67 to which she is entitled for holding the bond for those 60 days of the 180-day coupon period.
Now you know how to calculate the price of a bond, regardless of when its next coupon will be paid. Bond price quotes are typically the clean prices, but buyers of bonds pay the dirty, or full price. As a result, both buyers and sellers should understand the amount for which a bond should be sold or purchased. In addition, the tools you learned in this section will better enable you to learn the relationship between coupon rate, required yield and price as well as the reasons for which bond prices change in the market.
Forex Rates (Pakistan)
Updated on: Wed, December 2, 2009, 18:25 (PST)
Courtesy : ECAP
Remittance Buying Selling
USD 83.45 83.75
GBP 137.20 138.30
SR 22.00 22.27
UAE 22.48 22.77
AUS 1.58 1.68
EUR 124.80 125.80
CAD 78.51 79.83
IND 1.58 1.68
JPY 0.9470 0.9570
Courtesy : ECAP
Remittance Buying Selling
USD 83.45 83.75
GBP 137.20 138.30
SR 22.00 22.27
UAE 22.48 22.77
AUS 1.58 1.68
EUR 124.80 125.80
CAD 78.51 79.83
IND 1.58 1.68
JPY 0.9470 0.9570
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